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I am a freelance writer. I've covered the Cincinnati Reds, Bengals and others since 1992. I have a background in sales as well. I've sold consumer electronics, advertising and consumer package goods for companies ranging from the now defunct Circuit City to Procter&Gamble. I have worked as a stats operator for Xavier University, the University of Cincinnati, the College of Mount St. Joe and Colerain High School.

Thursday, April 19, 2012

One Win or a Trend?

Ok glass half empty folks the Reds beat the reigning World Champions on Thursday with a six-run 12 hit attack that included three home runs.  Those three hit by Brandon Phillips hitting fourth, Ryan Ludwick playing left instead of Chris Heisey and Drew Stubbs, who was struggling.

Now I guess Dusty Baker is a lot smarter than he was yesterday.  Whatever?

Like the 12 games before it, the win Thursday represented nothing more than one game on the 162 game schedule.  It doesn't mean the Reds are about to print playoff tickets, nor are they doomed to hold up the rest of the Central Division.

If you're looking for a trend, try this one.  The Reds have struggled to score runs in the 4-8 start. In Wednesday's 11-1 loss the Reds didn't score but had nine hits.  Unfortunately, for the team their scoring was thwarted by four double plays.

For the last two games the Reds have 21 hits or more than 10 per game.  They were hitting .205 before the game, it is a  pretty sure bet they are not going to hit .205 for the entire season.

The Reds are now 5-8 which is the same as they were in 2010 when they reached the playoffs and ended with its only winning season since 2000.  (Last year the Reds started 5-0 and ended the season with a losing record.)  They were hitting .226 as a team, with 14 home runs and 53 runs scored.  The 2012 Reds are hitting .219 with nine home runs and 39 runs.

Pitching is a main reason for optimism.

The 2010 team had a 5.26 ERA in 13 games.  This years team has a more respectable 3.85 ERA.




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